Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.687314 1.927432 2.191062 2.502224 2.859782 3.258182 3.736306
2025-08-31 1.312037 1.618617 1.982924 2.448688 3.029772 3.732687 4.650353
2025-09-07 1.125521 1.482283 1.935768 2.556680 3.388286 4.468635 5.986806
2025-09-14 0.969094 1.350428 1.864287 2.611186 3.675705 5.148324 7.357337
2025-09-21 0.829472 1.214393 1.760319 2.596734 3.856287 5.698860 8.629036
2025-09-28 0.698250 1.067721 1.615939 2.496006 3.887837 6.028196 9.615274
2025-10-05 0.644401 1.026416 1.617822 2.609990 4.253657 6.904254 11.574834
2025-10-12 0.601682 0.995107 1.628521 2.735480 4.650243 7.878046 13.839564
2025-10-19 0.552293 0.945382 1.601384 2.791695 4.934281 8.697437 15.958126
2025-10-26 0.508249 0.898309 1.571428 2.836501 5.200419 9.515930 18.193562
2025-11-02 0.452325 0.823061 1.482614 2.762594 5.237589 9.918957 19.697258
2025-11-09 0.394683 0.737564 1.364840 2.618628 5.120662 10.010890 20.592399
2025-11-16 0.359102 0.690102 1.313682 2.599448 5.252252 10.620402 22.680113
2025-11-23 0.323991 0.639396 1.250436 2.548300 5.312842 11.096658 24.568073
2025-11-30 0.310896 0.630525 1.267795 2.663429 5.735853 12.389645 28.480485
2025-12-07 0.293105 0.609899 1.258837 2.721702 6.044226 13.479434 32.114866
2025-12-14 0.270428 0.576330 1.218975 2.707346 6.188172 14.221341 35.046171
2025-12-21 0.242585 0.528456 1.143106 2.602516 6.109010 14.435295 36.705965
2025-12-28 0.235373 0.525060 1.163755 2.721796 6.576878 16.019836 42.156787
2026-01-04 0.229305 0.523486 1.188171 2.853025 7.092711 17.799635 48.451596
2026-01-11 0.218534 0.509783 1.183090 2.911828 7.434870 19.190409 53.933400
2026-01-18 0.207830 0.495011 1.173749 2.958682 7.752784 20.565562 59.626498
2026-01-25 0.190678 0.462747 1.118708 2.881470 7.729665 21.019207 62.692792